Evacuation modelling use and needs in Australia
This paper presents work conducted by the CSIRO and Collaborative Consulting Co as part of a project sponsored by Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action, and funded and supported by Natural Hazards Research Australia.
The study first reports on a review and survey of evacuation modelling software development and use across Australian emergency agencies, hazards, jurisdictions and decision timeframes. Much of this activity occurred following the 2009 Black Saturday bushfires, one of the deadliest days in recent Australian history, when 173 lives and more than 2000 houses were lost. While evacuation modelling tools have been applied in a range of planning, training and analytical contexts, we found no evidence of their use during live emergencies, largely constrained by limitations in real time data.
The paper then presents findings from national workshops conducted with emergency agencies to identify current and potential use cases and associated requirements for evacuation modelling software. These requirements were collated and ranked by participants to produce a prioritised roadmap intended to support the future development, integration and use of evacuation modelling tools for emergency management activities in Australia.

